JD’s Vegas MLB Picks (June 20th)

JD’s Vegas MLB Picks (June 20th)

JD’s Pick & Methodology

There’s no team better to end a rough losing streak than the Pittsburgh Pirates at home against a left-handed starter.  My confidence may come off as surprising, given that the Pirates are set to face-off against the San Francisco Giants and the modern day Paul Bunyan, Madison Bumgarner.  As always though, sports betting is about finding value in the lines, maximizing the potential reward against the perceived risk.  For today I will be taking the Pirates in two separate lines, the +1.5 run line and the “over” for the team over / under of 3 runs.

The team run-line of +1.5 runs for the Pirates is currently offering even money, or a line of (+100).  While the Giants are clearly to be considered as the favorites, and for good reason, the Pirates are too-good of a hitting line-up against LHP for me to pass up on that value.  Even though Bumgarner, or “Mad Bum” as he’s known around parts, has gotten off to a terrific stretch to begin the 2016 season; in 18.1 IP over the past three seasons against the Pirates, Mad Bum sports a rather pedestrian 5.40 ERA, which is his worst against any National League opponent.

A bet of $40.00 on the +1.5 run-line , will yield a potential pay-out of $40.00; while the the Pirates over of 3 runs will yield a potential pay-out of $36.37.

Pittmadbum

You can track all of JD’s picks here: JD’s Pick Tracker

Foreward & Editing By: Thomas L. McLaughlin

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JD’s Vegas MLB Picks (June 18th)

JD’s Vegas MLB Picks (June 18th)

JD’s Pick & Methodology

Took a personal day yesterday to drown out my sorrows, because every-time I begin to gain momentum, I lose a few games and get right back into the red.  It’s frustrating.  As a general rule of thumb, I prefer to see the first game of series and see what happens because it gives me a better idea of what I want to do.  Let’s get a little crazy today and shoot for the moon.  I’m parlaying both New York teams today, the Mets and Yankees.  

The Yankees are in the midst of a dominating spell against the Twins, rolling off 18 of 23 at Target Field.  No team seems to be as streaky as The Bronx Bombers, rattling off 4 or 5 wins at a time with ease and then giving it right back with a streak of losses.  Michael Pineda has pitched well of late, with a 2.89 ERA (Earned Run Average) over his last three starts.  With the depth and talent at the back end of the Yankees’ bullpen, the Bombers just have to keep it close.   Pretty dominating.  

The New York Mets face rookie starting pitcher Aaron Blair, who hasn’t pitched deep into a game yet, making it to the sixth inning only once.  Albeit a small sample size, Blair’s numbers are nothing short of ugly.  With an 0-4 W/L record, 25 Walks to 23 Strikeouts and an astronomical 1.82 WHIP; its easy to see why I am confident that the Mets will be able to put a few runs on the board.  Although the Atlanta Braves have won 3 in a row, I don’t see them overcoming a power arm in young lefty Steven Matz.  I’m simply picking the Mets because they have much more talent.  Period.  

I’m also taking the over in the Chicago Cubs / Pittsburgh Pirates game today, with the line currently at 7.5 runs.  The Pirates will hopefully cause havoc on base-paths because Jon Lester has shown a complete inability to control the opponents’ running game.  Meanwhile, the Cubs’ lineup is absolutely stacked with right-handed hitters, which should bode well because they are facing lefty Jonathon Niese.  With the friendly confines of Wrigley Field, look for this game to be somewhere in the neighborhood of 5-4.

I’m betting $50.00 on both the parlay and the Over in the CHC/PIT game. If both the Yankees and Mets are able to win, the parlay would pay-out $60.00.  Meanwhile if 8 or more runs are scored at Wrigley today, the pay-out would be $45.00.

Nyy

NYM

CHC

You can track all of JD’s picks here: JD’s Pick Tracker

Foreward & Editing By: Thomas L. McLaughlin

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JD’s Vegas MLB Picks (June 12th)

JD’s Vegas MLB Picks (June 12th)

JD’s Pick & Methodology

In recent years there has been no more relevant rivalry to the MLB than that between NL Central foes, the Pittsburgh Pirates and the St. Louis Cardinals.  The injury-riddled Pirates are looking to fend off a sweep and one would expect manager Clint Hurdle to pull out all of his tricks, in order to salvage an ever-important division game.  

Acquired this offseason in a deal that saw the Pirates send second baseman Neil Walker to the New York Mets, Jonathon Niese has recovered quite well after stumbling out of the gates.  The crafty left-handed pitcher is coming off a dominating performance at PNC Park, against his former team (the New York Mets).  In fact in his past five starts, Niese has accumulated a 3-0 record with an elite 1.74 ERA (Earned Run Average).  If Niese can establish control of his fastball, getting the ball inside to right-handed hitters, it will be difficult to imagine the Cardinals getting multiple runs on the board. Continue reading “JD’s Vegas MLB Picks (June 12th)”

JD’s Vegas MLB Picks (June 5th)

JD’s Vegas MLB Picks (June 5th)

JD’s Pick & Methodology

I’m off the schnide.  Today’s pick will be a parlay to increase payout and reduce the juice (VIG).  For the newbs, a parlay is a cumulative series of bets in which multiple events must be won to win the parlay; with the higher risk comes a considerable jump in potential payout. Continue reading “JD’s Vegas MLB Picks (June 5th)”

JD’s MLB Picks (June 4th)

JD’s MLB Picks (June 4th)

Well I’m completely miserable over the 0-3 start on my picks.  I was on a heater before I start posting my picks on the internet so anyone who has participated in the unforgiving sportsbetting world Continue reading “JD’s MLB Picks (June 4th)”